--- title: "Fencing Finesse case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fencing Finesse ($350.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 60.26% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fencing Finesse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fencing Finesse A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=all) Price · $350.00 · 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $315.01 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 60.26% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 99.3% 199.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=7d) | 4 | 60.26% ±137.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206) | 4 | 60.26% ±137.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/206?window=all) | 4 | 60.26% ±137.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2,319 2,319 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $633 633 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) | 14.4% | $451 451 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) | 15.8% | $207 207 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $205 205 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $162 162 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 11.5% | $129 129 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $56.00 56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| n0thing \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-n0thing-cologne-2015) | 10.1% | $12.18 12.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Attacker \| Boston 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-attacker-boston-2018) | 1 in 35 | $4.90 4.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Liquid (Holo) \| 2020 RMR sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-holo-2020-rmr) | 1 in 17 | $0.26 0.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=206`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=206) [★ Karambit | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $451 451 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-field-tested) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $56.00 56 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $207 207 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $129 129 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.37x 2026-11-08 20:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $350 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% covert knife 41.7% Covert 14.4% extraordinary 15.8% Mil Spec Grade 4.3% #4B69FF 13.0% Remarkable 5.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt