---
title: "Mythical Menagerie case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Mythical Menagerie ($75.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.02% from 12 items with odds, observed 186.41% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Mythical Menagerie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Mythical Menagerie

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=all)

Price · $75.00 · 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.02% · EV $67.51 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 186.41% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 37.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 517.3% 1035.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=24h) | 2 | 186.41% ±847.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=7d) | 2 | 186.41% ±847.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208) | 2 | 186.41% ±847.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/208?window=all) | 2 | 186.41% ±847.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $6,455 6,455 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 47.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $337 337 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $48.97 48.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| JW \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 22 | $4.92 4.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| zevy (Gold) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zevy-gold-paris-2023) | 1 in 17 | $3.57 3.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Operator \| FBI SWAT agent · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/operator-fbi-swat) | 1 in 13 | $2.81 2.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-battle-scarred) | 13.6% | $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) | 12.1% | $0.97 0.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 15.1% | $0.73 0.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.53 0.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-lifted-spirits-battle-scarred) | 10.6% | $0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=208`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=208)

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-11 01:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.86x 2026-11-11 01:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 90.02% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.5% covert 4.5% Covert 16.6% #4B69FF 4.5% #F2F8FF 6.0% blue 7.5% Rare 13.6% mil spec 21.1% restricted 15.1% milspec 10.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.02 on average: an expected loss of $9.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt