--- title: "Zen Garden case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Zen Garden ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 93.77% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Zen Garden](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Zen Garden A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=all) Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $90.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.77% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 51.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 335.3% 671.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=24h) | 6 | 93.77% ±576.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=7d) | 6 | 93.77% ±576.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211) | 6 | 93.77% ±576.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/211?window=all) | 6 | 93.77% ±576.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $14.4K 14,355 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 39.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $351 351 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 13.6% | $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $96.00 96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $40.52 40.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $14.35 14.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $8.70 8.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-well-worn) | 16.6% | $1.35 1.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Seek & Destroy sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seek-and-destroy) | 10.6% | $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 12.1% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-well-worn) | 15.1% | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=211`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=211) [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $114 114 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.14x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $96.00 96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.96x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $351 351 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.51x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-well-worn) [@jordanr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%40jordanr) $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.35 1.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.8% covert knife 22.7% classified 10.6% mil spec 1.5% #5E98D9 16.6% High Grade 10.6% Industrial Grade 12.1% #B0C3D9 15.1% Consumer Grade 3.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt