--- title: "Celestial Symphony case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Celestial Symphony ($125.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 4.67% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Celestial Symphony](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Celestial Symphony A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=all) Price · $125.00 · 125 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $112.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 4.67% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 49.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 401.5% 803.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212) | 3 | 4.67% ±798.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212?window=all) | 3 | 4.67% ±798.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $12.2K 12,180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 54.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,245 1,245 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 66 | $270 270 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $74.12 74.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 13.6% | $16.55 16.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $10.47 10.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $10.13 10.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $9.78 9.78 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) | 10.6% | $7.33 7.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.60 1.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-battle-scarred) | 12.1% | $1.37 1.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-well-worn) | 15.1% | $0.42 0.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=212`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=212) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $125 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% epic 3.0% classified 13.6% #4B69FF 13.6% mil spec 16.6% restricted 16.6% #8847ff 7.5% Restricted 12.1% violet 15.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt