--- title: "Aerial Aviators case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Aerial Aviators ($350.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 12.49% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Aerial Aviators](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Aerial Aviators A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=all) Price · $350.00 · 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $314.99 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 12.49% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 13.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 260.5% 521.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=24h) | 2 | 16.15% ±504.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=7d) | 8 | 12.49% ±252.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214) | 8 | 12.49% ±252.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/214?window=all) | 8 | 12.49% ±252.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $8,949 8,949 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 56.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $1,042 1,042 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $890 890 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 13.4% | $110 110 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.81× | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-battle-scarred) | 16.3% | $6.66 6.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $4.37 4.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Jame (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 13 | $3.45 3.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| k0nfig (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-k0nfig-foil-london-2018) | 10.4% | $3.16 3.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| The Baiter sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-baiter) | 1 in 17 | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| sjuush (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sjuush-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 67 | $0.55 0.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Exchanger (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-exchanger-field-tested) | 11.9% | $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [M249 \| Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) | 14.8% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=214`, 11 Nov, 12:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=214) [Sticker | k0nfig (Foil) | London 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-k0nfig-foil-london-2018) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.16 3.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $110 110 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-10 15:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $110 110 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC [Sticker | Jame (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.45 3.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC [Sticker | Jame (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.45 3.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) [birb](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/birb) $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $110 110 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-battle-scarred) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.66 6.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC [Sticker | Jame (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $350 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.45 3.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $350 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% extraordinary 8.9% covert knife 13.4% #d32ee6 16.3% red 4.5% #D32CE6 8.9% #8847FF 10.4% #4b69ff 5.9% #4B69FF 11.9% Industrial 14.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt