---
title: "Lost City Legends case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Lost City Legends ($500.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lost City Legends](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lost City Legends

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=all)

Price · $500.00 · 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $450.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/216?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5,837 5,837 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 64.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1,847 1,847 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $790 790 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $365 365 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $314 314 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 12.9% | $206 206 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $27.50 27.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $19.80 19.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 15.8% | $16.94 16.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-factory-new) | 10.1% | $16.42 16.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 14.4% | $13.49 13.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-holo-antwerp-2022) | 11.5% | $6.69 6.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=216`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=216)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 12.2% covert knife 13.0% Covert 1.5% gold 12.9% classified 24.4% mil spec 10.1% restricted 14.4% #d32ce6 11.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
