--- title: "Minimalist Marvel case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Minimalist Marvel ($3.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.71% from 12 items with odds, observed 34.90% over 36 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Minimalist Marvel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Minimalist Marvel A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=all) Price · $3.00 · 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.71% · EV $2.69 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 34.90% · 36 openings, odds method Variance · 220.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 65 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min -0.5% 525.3% 1051.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=24h) | 8 | 21.63% ±1028.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=7d) | 32 | 33.73% ±514.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218) | 36 | 34.90% ±484.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/218?window=all) | 36 | 34.90% ±484.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,360 4,360 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $75.48 75.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 42.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $4.24 4.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-dirt-drop-factory-new) | 10.6% | $2.58 2.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.83× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-catacombs-minimal-wear) | 13.6% | $1.34 1.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [Nova \| Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) | 15.1% | $1.18 1.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.65× | | [Sticker \| Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) | 1 in 33 | $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Ancient Earth (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 5 | 3.3 | 1.53× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| olofmeister \| London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-olofmeister-london-2018) | 16.7% | $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× | | [Sticker \| Bad News Eagles (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 16 | $0.26 0.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [FAMAS \| Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-battle-scarred) | 12.1% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.15× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=218`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=218) [FAMAS | Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-catacombs-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.34 1.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.45x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [Sticker | olofmeister | London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-olofmeister-london-2018) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-dirt-drop-factory-new) [brede](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/brede) $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.58 2.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.86x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [Sticker | olofmeister | London 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-olofmeister-london-2018) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-10 19:29 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:29 UTC [Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-09 15:29 UTC [Sticker | Bad News Eagles (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bad-news-eagles-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.26 0.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-09 15:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.00 | 89.71% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 1.5% classified 7.6% Consumer Grade 10.6% milspec 13.6% restricted 15.1% high 3.0% #B0C3D9 9.1% Mythical 4.5% #4B69FF 16.7% #8847FF 6.1% consumer 12.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.71 on average: an expected loss of $10.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt