--- title: "Pearly case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pearly ($66.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 92.81% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pearly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pearly A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=all) Price · $66.00 · 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $59.40 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.81% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 25.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min -0.5% 150.3% 301.0% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=7d) | 24 | 100.35% ±200.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22) | 26 | 92.81% ±192.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/22?window=all) | 26 | 92.81% ±192.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,800 8,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,150 1,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $314 314 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $223 223 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Operation Bloodhound Access Pass other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bloodhound-access-pass) | 1 in 13 | $40.16 40.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $36.53 36.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $18.09 18.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $8.35 8.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [Sticker \| Mood Ring Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mood-ring-strafe-holo) | 1 in 31 | $4.30 4.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.83 1.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× | | [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $1.61 1.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P90 \| Module (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.54 1.54 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× | | [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 10.2% | $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| ISSAA (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-issaa-foil-berlin-2019) | 10.9% | $0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [Dual Berettas \| Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.19× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [MP9 \| Army Sheen (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-army-sheen-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Bling (Blood Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-bling-blood-red) | 1 in 78 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=22`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) [sarz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/sarz) $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,150 1,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN 17.42x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=22) [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 13:49 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 13:49 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-black-laminate-factory-new) [sarz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/sarz) $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,150 1,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN 17.42x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [Sticker | Mood Ring Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mood-ring-strafe-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.30 4.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-factory-new) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $314 314 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.75x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $8.35 8.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [Operation Bloodhound Access Pass other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bloodhound-access-pass) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $40.16 40.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-07 13:09 UTC [AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.83 1.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-05 20:19 UTC [Operation Bloodhound Access Pass other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bloodhound-access-pass) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $40.16 40.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-05 20:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $66.00 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.9% #EB4B4B 1.0% covert knife 1.9% base 7.7% restricted 10.9% classified 5.1% remarkable 3.2% Legendary 8.3% #777777 0.6% mil spec 9.0% Restricted 10.2% #8847FF 10.9% grey 16.6% #4b69ff 2.6% #B0C3D9 1.3% consumer 3.8% best hit $1,150 (17.42x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt