---
title: "Botanical Bliss case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Botanical Bliss ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 12 items with odds, observed 69.83% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Botanical Bliss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Botanical Bliss

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=all)

Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $4.50 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.83% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 468.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 900.8% 1802.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221) | 6 | 69.83% ±1731.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/221?window=all) | 6 | 69.83% ±1731.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.8K 10,810 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $17.99 17.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $7.67 7.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $6.82 6.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-well-worn) | 10.6% | $6.33 6.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-well-worn) | 13.6% | $2.49 2.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $1.67 1.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nova \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 12.1% | $1.20 1.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-battle-scarred) | 15.1% | $0.13 0.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=221`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=221)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 90.01% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 15.1% extraordinary 0.0% #d32ee6 9.1% #8847ff 3.0% restricted 4.6% classified 10.6% Consumer Grade 13.6% consumer 18.2% #B0C3D9 12.1% #4B69FF 7.6% Industrial Grade 6.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
