---
title: "Surreal Dreamscape case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Surreal Dreamscape ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 25.77% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Surreal Dreamscape](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Surreal Dreamscape

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=all)

Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $90.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 25.77% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 14.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 279.8% 560.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=7d) | 2 | 25.77% ±533.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224) | 2 | 25.77% ±533.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/224?window=all) | 2 | 25.77% ±533.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $3,836 3,836 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 42.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 67 | $421 421 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $159 159 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 10.5% | $139 139 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $88.52 88.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 15.0% | $51.45 51.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Gamma 2 Case Key other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-2-case-key) | 12.0% | $11.90 11.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.96 0.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) | 16.5% | $0.94 0.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir CZ75-Auto \| Midnight Palm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-midnight-palm-factory-new) | 13.5% | $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=224`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=224)

[Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.09 0.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 06:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $51.45 51.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-05 06:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 16.5% #EB4B4B 1.0% covert 16.5% covert knife 13.5% #D32CE6 10.5% #B0C3D9 12.0% Mil Spec Grade 7.5% gray 9.0% industrial 13.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt