--- title: "Sci-Fi Noir case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sci-Fi Noir ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 185.00% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sci-Fi Noir](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sci-Fi Noir A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=all) Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $90.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 185.00% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 28.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 614.2% 1229.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227) | 1 | 185.00% ±1043.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/227?window=all) | 1 | 185.00% ±1043.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $11.9K 11,921 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 13.6% | $185 185 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) | 15.1% | $79.81 79.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 12.1% | $76.71 76.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-night-ops-field-tested) | 10.6% | $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) weapon · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 16.6% | $46.67 46.67 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $38.32 38.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $12.79 12.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $7.44 7.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $5.60 5.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $2.45 2.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.82 0.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=227`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=227) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.2% Covert 13.6% covert knife 27.1% #4B69FF 10.6% covert 33.2% #d32ee6 4.6% restricted 1.6% consumer 6.1% Mythical 3.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt