--- title: "Imperial Dynasty case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Imperial Dynasty ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 65.62% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Imperial Dynasty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Imperial Dynasty A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $4.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.62% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 146.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 13 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 361.3% 723.0% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=7d) | 13 | 65.62% ±656.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228) | 13 | 65.62% ±656.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/228?window=all) | 13 | 65.62% ±656.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,039 6,039 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) | 14.7% | $9.92 9.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 10.5% | $4.95 4.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× | | [Souvenir AUG \| Carved Jade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-carved-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $4.76 4.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $3.79 3.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 13.3% | $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× | | [Souvenir AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $3.14 3.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $2.90 2.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $1.58 1.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.38× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $1.02 1.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) | 11.9% | $0.41 0.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=228`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=228) [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.41 0.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.58 1.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Carved Jade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-carved-jade-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.76 4.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.79 3.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.76x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.95 4.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.99x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.58 1.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Carved Jade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-carved-jade-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.76 4.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.92 9.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.98x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.20 3.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.64x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% Industrial Grade 14.7% classified 39.9% mil spec 6.3% Mil Spec Grade 3.5% Mythical 7.7% restricted 21.0% milspec 2.1% violet 4.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt