--- title: "Eternal Rome case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eternal Rome ($10.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 96.00% over 2 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Eternal Rome](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Eternal Rome A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=all) Price · $10.00 · 10 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.00% · 2 openings, odds method Variance · 134.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 2 openings · below min since tracking started · 2 openings · below min -0.5% 851.8% 1704.0% **Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229) | 2 | 96.00% ±1607.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/229?window=all) | 2 | 96.00% ±1607.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.6K 11,577 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-1) | 1 in 11 | $32.25 32.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $9.92 9.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $9.60 9.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) | 12.1% | $6.97 6.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 13.5% | $6.51 6.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 16.5% | $6.44 6.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $5.24 5.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $5.14 5.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $0.45 0.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.41 0.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.35 0.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=229`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=229) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 51.2% Industrial Grade 4.8% #8847FF 10.6% #8847ff 6.1% restricted 22.6% gray 4.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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