--- title: "Greek Mythos case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Greek Mythos ($20.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 49.62% over 40 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Greek Mythos](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Greek Mythos A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=all) Price · $20.00 · 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.62% · 40 openings, odds method Variance · 30.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 39 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min -0.5% 111.5% 223.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings and 3.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=7d) | 39 | 50.71% ±172.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231) | 40 | 49.62% ±170.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/231?window=all) | 40 | 49.62% ±170.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,425 3,425 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $72.64 72.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.7% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 15.0% | $31.15 31.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.0% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× | | [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $18.28 18.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 12.1% | $7.19 7.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× | | [Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-ancient-souvenir-package) | 10.6% | $5.99 5.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.42× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $4.99 4.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.94 4.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.62× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $2.16 2.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [Souvenir P90 \| Ancient Earth (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-battle-scarred) | 16.5% | $2.07 2.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Master Guardian (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-holo) | 13.5% | $1.44 1.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× | | [AUG \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.71 0.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=231`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=231) [AK-47 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $31.15 31.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.19 7.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $31.15 31.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-09 23:39 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.16 2.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [Sticker | Master Guardian (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-master-guardian-holo) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.44 1.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $31.15 31.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.94 4.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.19 7.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [Paris 2023 Ancient Souvenir Package container · #F2F8FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-ancient-souvenir-package) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.99 5.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.30x 2026-11-09 17:09 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.19 7.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-09 08:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.2% classified 18.3% mil spec 3.1% #F2F8FF 10.6% #8847FF 18.2% #B0C3D9 16.5% #4b69ff 6.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt