--- title: "Mayan Enigma case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mayan Enigma ($30.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 11.05% over 11 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Mayan Enigma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Mayan Enigma A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=all) Price · $30.00 · 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $27.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 11.05% · 11 openings, odds method Variance · 57.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 62 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min -0.5% 251.8% 504.0% **Small sample.** 11 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=7d) | 9 | 8.01% ±495.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233) | 11 | 11.05% ±448.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/233?window=all) | 11 | 11.05% ±448.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,533 6,533 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $788 788 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 44.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $58.40 58.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) | 12.1% | $5.76 5.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.50× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $4.49 4.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $2.82 2.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) | 16.6% | $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Guardian graffiti · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-guardian) | 1 in 13 | $0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) | 13.6% | $0.56 0.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 15.1% | $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.80× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=233`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=233) [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 04:40 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-10 04:40 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [PawsMacFlynn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/PawsMacFlynn) $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 04:40 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 04:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Banana graffiti · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-banana) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.56 0.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 01:39 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-08 01:39 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [shipix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/shipix) $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.85 5.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-08 01:39 UTC [Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.76 5.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-06 09:49 UTC [Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.76 5.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-06 09:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 7 7.6% extraordinary 1.6% covert 10.6% restricted 16.7% Mil Spec Grade 12.1% milspec 6.1% industrial 16.6% #4B69FF 13.6% Rare 15.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt