--- title: "Normandy Victory case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Normandy Victory ($175.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 71.51% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Normandy Victory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Normandy Victory A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=all) Price · $175.00 · 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $157.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.51% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 23.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 216.5% 433.5% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=7d) | 7 | 71.51% ±361.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239) | 7 | 71.51% ±361.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/239?window=all) | 7 | 71.51% ±361.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.1K 12,053 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 38.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet) | 1 in 66 | $645 645 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 12.1% | $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) | 16.6% | $225 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.72× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $134 134 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Mayan Dreams (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-factory-new) | 10.6% | $22.45 22.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $10.44 10.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 15.1% | $1.46 1.46 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-hot-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.80 0.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Obey SAS sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-obey-sas) | 13.6% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=239`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=239) [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $225 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $134 134 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.77x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-hot-shot-field-tested) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.21 1.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-field-tested) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $225 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.29x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-scorched-field-tested) [Alex rose 🌹 They/She](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Alex%20rose%20%F0%9F%8C%B9%20They%2FShe) $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $290 290 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.66x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC [Sticker | Obey SAS sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-obey-sas) Hidden $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $175 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.5% covert knife 1.5% #EB4B4B 12.1% restricted 16.6% Industrial Grade 10.6% mil spec 3.0% violet 15.1% Uncommon 4.5% #4b69ff 6.0% milspec 7.5% high 13.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt