---
title: "Winter Storm case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Winter Storm ($100.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 153.73% over 28 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Winter Storm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Winter Storm

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=all)

Price · $100.00 · 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $90.00 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 153.73% · 28 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 21 openings · below min

30 days · 28 openings · below min

since tracking started · 28 openings · below min

2.5% 137.0% 271.5%

**Small sample.** 28 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=24h) | 18 | 124.44% ±121.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=7d) | 21 | 158.49% ±112.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24) | 28 | 153.73% ±97.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/24?window=all) | 28 | 153.73% ±97.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,420 2,420 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $1,778 1,778 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1,488 1,488 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,177 1,177 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,088 1,088 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $580 580 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $414 414 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $195 195 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 10.5% | $187 187 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.7% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 11.6% | $23.83 23.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| hatz (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hatz-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 21 | $5.16 5.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $2.52 2.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.84× |
| [MAC-10 \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-urban-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $1.24 1.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Slashed (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-well-worn) | 14.0% | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.53 0.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-battle-scarred) | 12.8% | $0.49 0.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 0.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Eat It (Cash Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-eat-it-cash-green) | 1 in 86 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=24`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,177 1,177 CSGOBIG\_COIN 11.77x 2026-11-10 15:19 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,088 1,088 CSGOBIG\_COIN 10.88x 2026-11-10 10:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=24)

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.53 0.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.52 2.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $23.83 23.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Slashed (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-well-worn) [Lowbob](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Lowbob) $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[Sticker | hatz (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hatz-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.16 5.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Slashed (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $23.83 23.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.24x 2026-11-10 15:30 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $187 187 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.87x 2026-11-10 15:30 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $187 187 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.87x 2026-11-10 15:30 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN $187 187 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.87x 2026-11-10 15:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.4% #ffd700 0.4% extraordinary 1.0% legendary 2.0% #EB4B4B 4.8% classified 2.0% covert knife 10.5% mil spec 31.4% consumer 11.6% restricted 12.8% milspec 7.0% #B0C3D9 1.2% best hit $1,177 (11.77x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt