--- title: "Ancient Olympics case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ancient Olympics ($225.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 0.37% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Ancient Olympics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Ancient Olympics A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=all) Price · $225.00 · 225 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $202.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.37% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 45.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 657.8% 1316.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244) | 1 | 0.37% ±1314.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/244?window=all) | 1 | 0.37% ±1314.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $15.2K 15,204 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 75.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $237 237 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $109 109 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $96.76 96.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-scorched-minimal-wear) | 16.5% | $81.40 81.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $37.06 37.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| NiKo (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 33 | $4.39 4.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Zeus \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeus-cologne-2015) | 15.0% | $2.22 2.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Murky (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-murky-field-tested) | 12.0% | $1.70 1.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.84 0.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [P90 \| Teardown (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-minimal-wear) | 13.5% | $0.63 0.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Smarmy (Brick Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smarmy-brick-red) | 1 in 22 | $0.56 0.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=244`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=244) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $225 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 7.5% covert 10.0% Classified 10.5% covert knife 22.5% classified 1.5% violet 3.0% #4B69FF 27.0% blue 13.5% #B0C3D9 4.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt