--- title: "Cuban Crisis case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cuban Crisis ($1,000.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Cuban Crisis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Cuban Crisis A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=all) Price · $1,000.00 · 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $900.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 32.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/247?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $80.8K 80,818 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 44.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-one-2014-souvenir-package) | 13.6% | $2,363 2,363 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 35.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $790 790 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $470 470 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 12.1% | $455 455 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 10.6% | $277 277 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 15.1% | $182 182 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $9.60 9.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Ian Hultquist, Lion's Mouth music kit · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-ian-hultquist-lions-mouth) | 1 in 22 | $7.03 7.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $6.72 6.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 16.6% | $3.89 3.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Jame (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 11 | $1.99 1.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=247`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=247) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,000 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% #B0C3D9 13.6% Covert 6.0% #EB4B4B 3.0% covert knife 27.1% classified 18.1% blue 4.5% #4b69ff 1.5% industrial 16.6% #8847FF 9.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt