--- title: "1% Galactic Dragon case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Galactic Dragon ($318.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [1% Galactic Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 1% Galactic Dragon A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=all) Price · $318.00 · 318 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $286.20 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 141.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/248?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $105K 105,240 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $76.6K 76,590 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $58.3K 58,330 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $50.8K 50,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $42K 42,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,600 | $36K 36,050 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,600 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,600 | $18.9K 18,888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,600 | $16.9K 16,868 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,600 | $13.7K 13,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,600 | $13.2K 13,180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,600 | $12.2K 12,180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,600 | $10.3K 10,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,600 | $9,888 9,888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,600 | $9,680 9,680 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,600 | $8,680 8,680 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,600 | $8,168 8,168 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Dragon Lore Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-surf-ava-foil) | 99.0% | $8.88 8.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=248`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=248) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $318 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% legendary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% contraband 0.1% Covert 0.1% exotic 99.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt