--- title: "Mega Millionaire case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mega Millionaire ($350.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Mega Millionaire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Mega Millionaire A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=all) Price · $350.00 · 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $315.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 276.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/252?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $125K 125,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $82K 82,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $56K 56,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $48K 48,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $443 443 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 14.2% | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-foil-london-2018) | 17.8% | $25.50 25.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Autograph Capsule \| Vexed Gaming \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-vexed-gaming-cluj-napoca-2015) | 10.7% | $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Astralis \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-astralis-mlg-columbus-2016) | 21.3% | $16.00 16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Briar (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-briar-field-tested) | 24.9% | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1.09 1.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=252`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=252) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $350 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% classified 0.1% legendary 0.1% #EB4B4B 7.2% covert knife 14.2% #8847FF 17.8% #B0C3D9 10.7% Rare 21.3% Consumer Grade 24.9% restricted 3.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt