---
title: "Gilded Gambit case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gilded Gambit ($90.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 7.17% over 25 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Gilded Gambit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Gilded Gambit

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=all)

Price · $90.00 · 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $81.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 7.17% · 25 openings, odds method

Variance · 74.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 17 openings · below min

30 days · 25 openings · below min

since tracking started · 25 openings · below min

-0.5% 599.3% 1199.0%

**Small sample.** 25 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=24h) | 2 | 1.59% ±1197.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=7d) | 17 | 7.40% ±410.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257) | 25 | 7.17% ±338.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/257?window=all) | 25 | 7.17% ±338.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $11.9K 11,888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $8,200 8,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $5,160 5,160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 12 | $36.28 36.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| ropz (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-boston-2018) | 19.1% | $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 21.7% | $3.63 3.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [Sticker \| Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) | 11.0% | $3.29 3.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.81× |
| [Sticker \| fer (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 18 | $2.19 2.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) | 16.4% | $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 10 | 4.1 | 2.44× |
| [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) | 13.7% | $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Zander (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 0.8 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=257`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=257)

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) [taoyz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/taoyz) $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.40 0.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.43 1.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-boston-2018) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

[Sticker | fer (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.19 2.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 04:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $90.00 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% extraordinary 0.3% exotic 8.4% remarkable 19.1% Mythical 21.7% #8847ff 11.0% #D32CE6 5.7% milspec 19.4% Industrial Grade 13.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt