---
title: "Platinum Wins case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Platinum Wins ($50.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 47.76% over 69 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Platinum Wins](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Platinum Wins

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=all)

Price · $50.00 · 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $45.00 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 47.76% · 69 openings, odds method

Variance · 56.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 185 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 7 openings · below min

7 days · 42 openings · below min

30 days · 69 openings · below min

since tracking started · 69 openings · below min

-0.5% 348.5% 697.5%

**Small sample.** 69 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=24h) | 7 | 138.81% ±558.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=7d) | 42 | 62.00% ±227.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258) | 69 | 47.76% ±177.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/258?window=all) | 69 | 47.76% ±177.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.3K 10,350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,950 8,950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,280 6,280 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $4,800 4,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 53.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.7% | 8 | 5.8 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 19.2% | $17.87 17.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 18 | 13.3 | 1.36× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $6.28 6.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-battle-scarred) | 11.1% | $4.55 4.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.18× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $3.36 3.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) | 22.0% | $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 9 | 15.2 | 0.59× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-well-worn) | 16.5% | $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 12 | 11.4 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 13.8% | $0.88 0.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.95× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=258`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=258)

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.10x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $17.87 17.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.88 0.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.88 0.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.10x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.10x 2026-11-11 01:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.55 4.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $155 155 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.10x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

[Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.22 1.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.5% covert knife 8.3% classified 30.3% restricted 16.7% #777777 5.6% High Grade 22.0% mil spec 16.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt