--- title: "Fiery Fiesta case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fiery Fiesta ($250.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fiery Fiesta](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fiery Fiesta A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=all) Price · $250.00 · 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $225.00 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/26?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,989 7,989 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 333 | $2,159 2,159 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,980 1,980 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,838 1,838 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1,538 1,538 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 30.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $787 787 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 34 | $672 672 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $436 436 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $72.12 72.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $11.20 11.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 11.8% | $2.72 2.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 10.8% | $1.03 1.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 12.8% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| nicoodoz (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nicoodoz-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 15 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir UMP-45 \| Mudder (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-mudder-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Jump Shot (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-swat-blue) | 1 in 51 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Backstab (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab-swat-blue) | 1 in 17 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=26`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=26) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $250 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 4.0% covert 15.1% legendary 6.5% covert knife 2.5% #EB4B4B 1.0% remarkable 3.0% classified 11.8% #8847FF 17.7% Common 14.8% #B0C3D9 17.7% Base Grade 5.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt