--- title: "Exquisite Earnings case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Exquisite Earnings ($5.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 72.67% over 76 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Exquisite Earnings](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Exquisite Earnings A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $4.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.67% · 76 openings, odds method Variance · 196.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 68 openings · below min 30 days · 76 openings · below min since tracking started · 76 openings · below min -0.5% 485.5% 971.5% **Small sample.** 76 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=24h) | 10 | 102.90% ±868.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=7d) | 68 | 79.62% ±332.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261) | 76 | 72.67% ±314.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/261?window=all) | 76 | 72.67% ±314.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 76 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,880 4,880 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,910 3,910 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,795 2,795 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,055 1,055 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $46.29 46.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 58.0% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× | | [Patch \| FaZe Clan \| Stockholm 2021 patch · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-faze-clan-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 34 | $4.88 4.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) | 19.3% | $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 14 | 14.7 | 0.95× | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Kiss (Dust Brown) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-dust-brown) | 13.9% | $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 5 | 10.5 | 0.47× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Little Bock (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-bock-jungle-green) | 22.1% | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 18 | 16.8 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| DeadFox \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-katowice-2019) | 16.6% | $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 19 | 12.6 | 1.51× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Faulty Wiring (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-faulty-wiring-battle-scarred) | 11.1% | $0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.95× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=261`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=261) [Sticker | DeadFox | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-katowice-2019) [Rumanusky](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Rumanusky) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC [Sticker | DeadFox | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-katowice-2019) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.30 0.3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.08 1.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.22x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Little Bock (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-bock-jungle-green) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Little Bock (Jungle Green) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-bock-jungle-green) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Dust Brown) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-dust-brown) [avgdegen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/avgdegen) $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kiss (Dust Brown) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kiss-dust-brown) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 01:49 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN $46.29 46.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 9.26x 2026-11-11 01:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 5.7% #4B69FF 19.5% restricted 27.7% Base Grade 13.9% #B0C3D9 33.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt