--- title: "Plush Payouts case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Plush Payouts ($30.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 115.70% over 51 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Plush Payouts](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Plush Payouts A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=all) Price · $30.00 · 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $27.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.70% · 51 openings, odds method Variance · 47.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 86 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 39 openings · below min 30 days · 51 openings · below min since tracking started · 51 openings · below min -0.5% 675.5% 1351.5% **Small sample.** 51 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=24h) | 1 | 2.33% ±1348.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=7d) | 39 | 144.49% ±215.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262) | 51 | 115.70% ±188.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/262?window=all) | 51 | 115.70% ±188.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 51 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.3K 10,350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,665 3,665 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,912 1,912 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,486 1,486 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 55.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Apep's Curse (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-apeps-curse-well-worn) | 13.7% | $34.00 34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.3% | 4 | 7.0 | 0.57× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $6.99 6.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| Shara \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-mlg-columbus-2016) | 19.1% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.13× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Kawaii Killer CT graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kawaii-killer-ct) | 1 in 12 | $2.96 2.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.42× | | [P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) | 21.8% | $2.48 2.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $2.13 2.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| MIBR \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-katowice-2019) | 16.4% | $0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 12 | 8.4 | 1.43× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=262`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,486 1,486 CSGOBIG\_COIN 49.53x 2026-11-09 05:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=262) [Sticker | MIBR | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-katowice-2019) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [Sticker | MIBR | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-katowice-2019) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [Sticker | Shara | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [Sticker | Shara | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [Sticker | Shara | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [Sticker | Shara | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.48 2.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 10:58 UTC [Sticker | MIBR | Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-katowice-2019) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.70 0.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.48 2.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Kawaii Killer CT graffiti · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-kawaii-killer-ct) Hidden $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.96 2.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-09 09:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.2% #D32CE6 13.7% classified 11.0% #4B69FF 35.5% remarkable 8.3% restricted 21.8% violet 2.9% milspec 5.6% best hit $1,486 (49.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt