--- title: "Diamond Rush case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Diamond Rush ($200.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 1.82% over 5 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Diamond Rush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Diamond Rush A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=all) Price · $200.00 · 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $180.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 1.82% · 5 openings, odds method Variance · 124.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 5 openings · below min since tracking started · 5 openings · below min -0.5% 489.8% 980.0% **Small sample.** 5 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=7d) | 5 | 1.82% ±977.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264) | 5 | 1.82% ±977.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/264?window=all) | 5 | 1.82% ±977.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $82.5K 82,535 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 1,000 | $30.6K 30,630 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $8,955 8,955 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| byali (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-byali-gold-boston-2018) | 19.3% | $254 254 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $25.89 25.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-well-worn) | 13.8% | $15.75 15.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 16.5% | $6.87 6.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| tabseN (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tabsen-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 18 | $6.04 6.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-battle-scarred) | 22.0% | $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.72× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-field-tested) | 11.1% | $0.71 0.71 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=264`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=264) [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-battle-scarred) Hidden $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-battle-scarred) Hidden $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC [Sticker | tabseN (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tabsen-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.04 6.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-battle-scarred) Hidden $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.76 1.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.87 6.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $200 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% base 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% covert 8.5% #EB4B4B 24.8% classified 13.8% Legendary 16.5% #8847FF 22.0% Rare 2.8% Mil Spec Grade 11.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt