--- title: "Elite Exotics case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Elite Exotics ($500.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 10.05% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Elite Exotics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Elite Exotics A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=all) Price · $500.00 · 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $450.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 10.05% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 19.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 253.5% 507.5% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=7d) | 3 | 10.05% ±496.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266) | 3 | 10.05% ±496.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/266?window=all) | 3 | 10.05% ±496.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 400 | $30.6K 30,636 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $15.8K 15,835 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.2K 11,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $8,699 8,699 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 21.6% | $261 261 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 16.2% | $256 256 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 13.5% | $209 209 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| London 2018 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-london-2018) | 1 in 37 | $13.25 13.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Delusion (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-field-tested) | 10.8% | $0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-field-tested) | 18.9% | $0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Chef Kiss (Desert Amber) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-desert-amber) | 1 in 12 | $0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=266`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=266) [StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-field-tested) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 07:59 UTC [UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-field-tested) Hidden $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.39 0.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 07:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/POTATO) $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.30x 2026-11-05 07:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $500 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 0.3% covert 17.5% legendary 1.0% covert knife 40.6% Mythical 2.7% mil spec 10.8% milspec 18.9% #B0C3D9 8.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt