--- title: "Lavish Largesse case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lavish Largesse ($18.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 15.72% over 14 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lavish Largesse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lavish Largesse A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=all) Price · $18.00 · 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $16.20 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 15.72% · 14 openings, odds method Variance · 154.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 5 openings · below min 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 14 openings · below min since tracking started · 14 openings · below min -0.5% 548.3% 1097.0% **Small sample.** 14 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=24h) | 5 | 5.66% ±1090.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=7d) | 14 | 15.72% ±651.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268) | 14 | 15.72% ±651.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/268?window=all) | 14 | 15.72% ±651.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,859 5,859 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 36.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,482 3,482 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,819 1,819 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $797 797 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-urban-shock-battle-scarred) | 13.7% | $10.02 10.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Purrurists (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purrurists-foil) | 21.4% | $9.47 9.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) | 18.9% | $2.31 2.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | | [Sticker \| Space Soldiers \| Boston 2018 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-boston-2018) | 1 in 29 | $1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) | 11.2% | $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.56× | | [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-desert-storm-well-worn) | 16.3% | $1.02 1.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [Sticker \| MIBR (Holo) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-holo-berlin-2019) | 1 in 17 | $0.65 0.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.32× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=268`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=268) [MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC [XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.31 2.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 04:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 04:19 UTC [Sticker | Purrurists (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purrurists-foil) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.47 9.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.53x 2026-11-10 00:59 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 00:59 UTC [Sticker | Purrurists (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purrurists-foil) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.47 9.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.53x 2026-11-10 00:59 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.07 1.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 00:59 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 00:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% legendary 0.2% knifes 0.1% #8847FF 19.8% Legendary 21.4% #d32ee6 18.9% #4B69FF 3.5% Mythical 11.2% #B0C3D9 16.3% Rare 8.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt