--- title: "The Aviator case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Aviator ($300.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [The Aviator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · The Aviator A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=all) Price · $300.00 · 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $270.00 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/27?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $7,996 7,996 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $2,208 2,208 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,159 2,159 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $1,787 1,787 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,680 1,680 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $805 805 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $546 546 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $280 280 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $268 268 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| London Conspiracy (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 17 | $70.50 70.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $41.13 41.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Flash Gaming (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flash-gaming-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 116 | $32.26 32.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $9.85 9.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Phoenix Pin pin · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/phoenix-pin) | 1 in 29 | $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Cluck sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cluck) | 11.2% | $2.02 2.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| mou \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mou-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 11 | $1.27 1.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.17 0.17 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Black Shark Shooter sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-black-shark-shooter) | 10.3% | $0.14 0.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=27`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=27) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $300 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.6% extraordinary 5.6% gold 7.7% covert knife 10.0% #8847ff 6.0% classified 6.9% remarkable 0.9% Legendary 1.7% high 3.4% #4B69FF 31.0% mil spec 18.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt