--- title: "Treasure Trove case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Treasure Trove ($13.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 12 items with odds, observed 17.18% over 65 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Treasure Trove](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Treasure Trove A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=all) Price · $13.00 · 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $11.70 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.18% · 65 openings, odds method Variance · 111.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 154 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 59 openings · below min 30 days · 65 openings · below min since tracking started · 65 openings · below min -0.5% 733.3% 1467.0% **Small sample.** 65 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=24h) | 2 | 2.38% ±1464.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=7d) | 59 | 17.52% ±269.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270) | 65 | 17.18% ±256.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/270?window=all) | 65 | 17.18% ±256.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,840 4,840 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,550 2,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $808 808 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 34.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Patch \| Aquatic Offensive patch · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-aquatic-offensive) | 11.1% | $20.43 20.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.3% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× | | [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $6.61 6.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.34 2.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [MAC-10 \| Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-field-tested) | 21.8% | $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 13 | 14.2 | 0.92× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-well-worn) | 16.4% | $1.50 1.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Riot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-field-tested) | 19.1% | $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 16 | 12.4 | 1.29× | | [P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 13.8% | $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 11 | 8.9 | 1.23× | | [Sticker \| misutaaa (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-misutaaa-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 12 | $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.65× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=270`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=270) [P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.29 0.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:19 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:19 UTC [MAC-10 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 06:19 UTC [Patch | Aquatic Offensive patch · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-aquatic-offensive) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20.43 20.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.57x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [MAC-10 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC [P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.61 6.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-09 02:59 UTC [MAC-10 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tornado-field-tested) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-09 02:59 UTC [Sticker | misutaaa (Holo) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-misutaaa-holo-stockholm-2021) Hidden $13.00 13 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.25 0.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 00:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.00 | 90.01% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% epic 0.5% Legendary 11.1% pink 3.0% restricted 5.7% Consumer Grade 21.8% #4B69FF 35.6% #4b69ff 13.8% #8847FF 8.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt