--- title: "Magnate's Magnificence case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Magnate's Magnificence ($3.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.03% from 12 items with odds, observed 103.13% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Magnate's Magnificence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Magnate's Magnificence A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=all) Price · $3.00 · 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.03% · EV $2.70 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 103.13% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 243.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 7 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min -0.5% 582.0% 1164.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=24h) | 7 | 8.76% ±1155.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=7d) | 36 | 84.34% ±509.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271) | 48 | 103.13% ±441.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/271?window=all) | 48 | 103.13% ±441.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,285 3,285 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,750 1,750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $27.14 27.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 57.1% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.83× | | [P2000 \| Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) | 22.0% | $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.95× | | [Negev \| Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) | 11.1% | $0.37 0.37 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.75× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| 1G (Blood Red) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-blood-red) | 1 in 34 | $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-field-tested) | 13.9% | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.05× | | [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-battle-scarred) | 19.3% | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.19× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-oxide-blaze-well-worn) | 16.6% | $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× | | [M249 \| Submerged (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-submerged-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.21 0.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=271`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=271) [G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC [G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-oxide-blaze-well-worn) [brede](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/brede) $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 06:20 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [P2000 | Ivory (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-well-worn) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN $27.14 27.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN 9.05x 2026-11-10 06:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.00 | 90.03% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 0.0% Covert 0.0% legendary 0.0% Rare 5.7% mil spec 33.2% #B0C3D9 3.0% milspec 30.4% Mil Spec 19.3% Common 8.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.03 on average: an expected loss of $9.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt