--- title: "Affluent Ante case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Affluent Ante ($60.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 10.20% over 9 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Affluent Ante](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Affluent Ante A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=all) Price · $60.00 · 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 10.20% · 9 openings, odds method Variance · 25.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 9 openings · below min since tracking started · 9 openings · below min -0.5% 222.5% 445.5% **Small sample.** 9 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=7d) | 5 | 6.86% ±438.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272) | 9 | 10.20% ±326.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/272?window=all) | 9 | 10.20% ±326.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $3,330 3,330 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 30.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $660 660 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $183 183 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 13.5% | $16.19 16.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.48× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 21.5% | $8.26 8.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $4.21 4.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 10.8% | $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-firestarter-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× | | [StatTrak™ M249 \| System Lock (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 18.8% | $0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.18× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=272`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=272) [StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.82 1.82 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-firestarter-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.51 1.51 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-well-worn) Hidden $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.75 0.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.31 0.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) Hidden $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.19 16.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.27x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $60.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 40.7% industrial 24.3% restricted 10.8% #4B69FF 16.1% milspec 8.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt