--- title: "Monarch's Money case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Monarch's Money ($8.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 17.87% over 73 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Monarch's Money](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Monarch's Money A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=all) Price · $8.00 · 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $7.20 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.87% · 73 openings, odds method Variance · 177.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 13 openings · below min 7 days · 59 openings · below min 30 days · 73 openings · below min since tracking started · 73 openings · below min -0.5% 379.0% 758.5% **Small sample.** 73 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=24h) | 13 | 33.55% ±724.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=7d) | 59 | 20.09% ±340.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273) | 73 | 17.87% ±305.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/273?window=all) | 73 | 17.87% ±305.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 73 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,550 3,550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,160 2,160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,450 1,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P250 \| Red Rock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $25.81 25.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [G3SG1 \| Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-contractor-well-worn) | 11.1% | $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 11 | 8.1 | 1.36× | | [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) | 16.5% | $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 13 | 12.1 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wood Fired (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.84× | | [Souvenir MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 6.1 | 0.16× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| 1G (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-bazooka-pink) | 13.8% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) | 21.9% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 19 | 16.0 | 1.19× | | [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) | 19.2% | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 11 | 14.0 | 0.78× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=273`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=273) [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [G3SG1 | Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-contractor-well-worn) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 1G (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-bazooka-pink) [woodsnatch22](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/woodsnatch22) $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC [G3SG1 | Contractor (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-contractor-well-worn) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-11 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 1G (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-bazooka-pink) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 1G (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-bazooka-pink) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.69 0.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | 1G (Bazooka Pink) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-1g-bazooka-pink) Hidden $8.00 8 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 0.1% restricted 5.7% #B0C3D9 24.9% Uncommon 16.5% Mil Spec Grade 3.0% Consumer Grade 8.4% milspec 21.9% Industrial Grade 19.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt