--- title: "Primo Plunder case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Primo Plunder ($80.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 16.64% over 14 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Primo Plunder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Primo Plunder A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=all) Price · $80.00 · 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $72.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 16.64% · 14 openings, odds method Variance · 100.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 14 openings · below min since tracking started · 14 openings · below min -0.5% 270.8% 542.0% **Small sample.** 14 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=7d) | 14 | 16.64% ±524.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276) | 14 | 16.64% ±524.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/276?window=all) | 14 | 16.64% ±524.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $18.9K 18,888 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.3K 11,345 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,400 7,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $4,600 4,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 31.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $116 116 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| hooch (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hooch-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 12 | $21.60 21.6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Toy Soldier (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) | 19.2% | $10.64 10.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.49× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $8.70 8.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Cyber Chicken (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cyber-chicken-holo) | 16.5% | $2.65 2.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-field-tested) | 22.0% | $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Smirk (Shark White) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smirk-shark-white) | 11.0% | $1.02 1.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.29× | | [Sticker \| S1ren (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1ren-holo-rio-2022) | 13.8% | $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=276`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=276) [Sticker | S1ren (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1ren-holo-rio-2022) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 05:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.64 10.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-05 12:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Smirk (Shark White) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smirk-shark-white) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.02 1.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-05 12:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $116 116 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.45x 2026-11-05 12:49 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Smirk (Shark White) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smirk-shark-white) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.02 1.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.64 10.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.64 10.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-toy-soldier-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.64 10.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC [Sticker | S1ren (Holo) | Rio 2022 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1ren-holo-rio-2022) [Fan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Fan) $80.00 80 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.38 0.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $80.00 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% contraband 0.1% covert 0.5% #EB4B4B 5.6% #D32CE6 22.1% Restricted 19.2% classified 2.8% violet 16.5% blueLight 22.0% #B0C3D9 11.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt