--- title: "Heroes Of Troy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Heroes Of Troy ($425.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 4.40% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Heroes Of Troy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Heroes Of Troy A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=all) Price · $425.00 · 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $382.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 4.40% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 82.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 222 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 259.3% 519.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=7d) | 12 | 4.40% ±513.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281) | 12 | 4.40% ±513.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/281?window=all) | 12 | 4.40% ±513.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #E4AE39](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $50K 50,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 182 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1,571 1,571 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 19.2% | $177 177 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [Sticker \| GuardiaN (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-guardian-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 12 | $13.87 13.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 22.0% | $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.89× | | [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) | 11.0% | $2.53 2.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 13.7% | $1.63 1.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) | 16.5% | $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.52× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=281`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=281) [★ Flip Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $177 177 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.53 2.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [po0pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/po0pie) $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:29 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.76 0.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC [Sticker | GuardiaN (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-guardian-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $13.87 13.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) Hidden $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.63 1.63 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $425 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #E4AE39 0.1% remarkable 0.1% covert 25.5% #D32CE6 8.3% restricted 22.0% mil spec 11.0% violet 13.7% Industrial Grade 16.5% Mil Spec Grade 2.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt