--- title: "Fairyland Foray case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fairyland Foray ($550.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Fairyland Foray](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Fairyland Foray A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=all) Price · $550.00 · 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $495.00 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 259.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/287?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $280K 280,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 56.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-well-worn) | 12.1% | $1,350 1,350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 33.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $82.10 82.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) | 10.6% | $28.15 28.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Zero (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zero-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 11 | $26.00 26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $22.99 22.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 16.6% | $5.48 5.48 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 13.6% | $2.04 2.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 15.1% | $0.97 0.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Hop (Monarch Blue) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-hop-monarch-blue) | 1 in 22 | $0.57 0.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| facecrack (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-facecrack-foil-berlin-2019) | 1 in 17 | $0.41 0.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=287`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=287) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $550 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.1% covert 24.2% Classified 7.6% #D32CE6 9.1% restricted 3.0% mil spec 30.3% milspec 15.1% #B0C3D9 4.5% #8847FF 6.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt