---
title: "5% Glock case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "5% Glock ($27.76) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 75.68% over 105 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [5% Glock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 5% Glock

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=all)

Price · $27.76 · 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $24.98 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.68% · 105 openings, odds method

Variance · 19.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 90 openings · below min

30 days · 105 openings · below min

since tracking started · 105 openings · below min

-0.5% 127.3% 255.0%

**Small sample.** 105 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=24h) | 12 | 7.20% ±247.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=7d) | 90 | 47.15% ±90.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288) | 105 | 75.68% ±83.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/288?window=all) | 105 | 75.68% ±83.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 105 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 40.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Emerald) weapon · #eb4b4b · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $208 208 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) | 95.0% | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 103 | 99.8 | 1.03× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=288`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN 36.02x 2026-11-08 09:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN 36.02x 2026-11-03 13:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=288)

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:20 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[Sticker | Work For Ammo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-work-for-ammo) Hidden $27.76 27.76 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $27.76 | 89.99% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 2.0% red 1.0% #eb4b4b 1.0% covert 1.0% Rare 95.0% best hit $1,000 (36.02x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt