--- title: "Lucky Pandora case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lucky Pandora ($42.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 5 items with odds, observed 73.71% over 15 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lucky Pandora](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lucky Pandora A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=all) Price · $42.33 · 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $38.10 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.71% · 15 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 106.0% 212.5% **Small sample.** 15 openings and 6.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=24h) | 12 | 67.33% ±144.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=7d) | 15 | 73.71% ±129.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289) | 15 | 73.71% ±129.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/289?window=all) | 15 | 73.71% ±129.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 500 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 55.1% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× | | [Sticker \| Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) | 60.0% | $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=289`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=289) [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [tabb3n](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/tabb3n) $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $42.33 42.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $42.33 | 90.01% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 39.9% Remarkable 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt