---
title: "The One case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The One ($800.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [The One](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · The One

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=all)

Price · $800.00 · 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $720.00 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/29?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $8,800 8,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $7,624 7,624 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 42.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $4,417 4,417 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 30.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,100 2,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,570 1,570 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $180 180 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $90.44 90.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 10.1% | $57.35 57.35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Special Delivery (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-special-delivery-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $5.53 5.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.94 4.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $4.16 4.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Memento (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-memento-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.24 3.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $1.97 1.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.69 1.69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Sphinx (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sphinx-holo) | 1 in 24 | $1.56 1.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Gauss (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-gauss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.29 1.29 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 10.9% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Sorry (Princess Pink) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-princess-pink) | 1 in 59 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Mr. Teeth (Dust Brown) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-dust-brown) | 1 in 12 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=29`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=29)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $800 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 21.5% gold 2.0% extraordinary 3.4% restricted 10.1% Restricted 9.2% classified 5.0% pink 2.5% Rare 12.6% Mythical 0.8% #8847FF 11.8% mil spec 10.9% Common 10.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt