--- title: "1% Dream case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% Dream ($66.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 11 items with odds, observed 2.14% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [1% Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 1% Dream A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=all) Price · $66.00 · 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $59.40 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 2.14% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 102.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 46 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min -0.5% 701.0% 1402.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=24h) | 2 | 2.14% ±1399.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=7d) | 46 | 2.14% ±291.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292) | 68 | 2.14% ±240.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/292?window=all) | 68 | 2.14% ±240.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,000 7,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) | 99.0% | $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 68 | 67.3 | 1.01× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=292`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=292) [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 15:39 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 15:39 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 15:39 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 15:39 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 13:49 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Bish (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bish-holo) Hidden $66.00 66 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.41 1.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 14:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $66.00 | 89.99% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 0.6% legendary 0.2% contraband 0.1% Remarkable 99.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt