---
title: "Sticker Vault case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sticker Vault ($288.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 41.99% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Sticker Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Sticker Vault

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=all)

Price · $288.00 · 288 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $259.20 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 41.99% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 258.3% 517.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=7d) | 2 | 41.99% ±474.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295) | 2 | 41.99% ±474.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/295?window=all) | 2 | 41.99% ±474.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $8,200 8,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $5,400 5,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 125 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 77 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $1,600 1,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 40 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 20 | $560 560 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 13 | $240 240 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Cologne 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-cologne-2014) | 15.0% | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sticker \| Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) | 65.0% | $1.84 1.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=295`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=295)

[Sticker | Virtus.pro (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2015) Hidden $288 288 CSGOBIG\_COIN $240 240 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC

[Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken) Hidden $288 288 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.84 1.84 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $288 | 90.00% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 5.7% legendary 0.5% high 16.3% exotic 5.0% #8847ff 7.5% High Grade 65.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
