---
title: "Risk It All case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Risk It All ($1,825.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Risk It All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Risk It All

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=all)

Price · $1,825.00 · 1,825 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,642.50 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/304?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $38K 38,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $22K 22,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $14K 14,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8,400 8,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $3,600 3,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1,600 1,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 20.0% | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 32.5% | $340 340 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=304`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=304)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,825 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 59.6% remarkable 0.2% extraordinary 14.3% contraband 4.4% legendary 1.5% #eb4b4b 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt