---
title: "Profit Mania case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Profit Mania ($2.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 79.75% over 48 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Profit Mania](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Profit Mania

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=all)

Price · $2.00 · 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1.80 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.75% · 48 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 44 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

-0.5% 173.8% 348.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings and 10.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=24h) | 1 | 44.50% ±303.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=7d) | 44 | 79.08% ±45.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31) | 48 | 79.75% ±43.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/31?window=all) | 48 | 79.75% ±43.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $410 410 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $175 175 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $126 126 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $45.00 45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $7.39 7.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [Sticker \| MIBR (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 24 | $6.02 6.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.50 4.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $4.25 4.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.6% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.14× |
| [Operation Riptide Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-riptide-case) | 1 in 17 | $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $2.06 2.06 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.32 1.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.25× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $0.85 0.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.83 0.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aloha (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $0.66 0.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-field-tested) | 10.8% | $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× |
| [Sticker \| Merietta sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-merietta) | 1 in 113 | $0.33 0.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Sticker \| advent \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-advent-katowice-2019) | 1 in 15 | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Jump Shot (Shark White) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-shark-white) | 11.6% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.44× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=31`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=31)

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.89 0.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.45x 2026-11-10 20:29 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.25 4.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.83 0.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | MIBR (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.02 6.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN 3.01x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[FAMAS | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.52 0.52 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.26x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Jump Shot (Shark White) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-jump-shot-shark-white) [ĐøT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%C4%90%C3%B8T) $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.25 4.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.13x 2026-11-09 20:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.66 0.66 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC

[Operation Riptide Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-riptide-case) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.41 2.41 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.21x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.83 0.83 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.42x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 90.00% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.0% mil spec 26.7% #EB4B4B 4.2% Classified 5.0% Base Grade 5.8% restricted 2.5% #4b69ff 18.3% #8847ff 10.0% milspec 8.3% Rare 0.9% #4B69FF 6.7% #B0C3D9 11.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt