--- title: "Blaze case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blaze ($0.34) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.85% from 5 items with odds, observed 28.37% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310 rendered: 2026-11-12T06:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Blaze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Blaze A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=all) Price · $0.34 · 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.85% · EV $0.31 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 28.37% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 390.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 476 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 61 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min -0.5% 529.8% 1060.0% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=24h) | 14 | 23.53% ±1035.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=7d) | 61 | 28.93% ±496.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310) | 68 | 28.37% ±469.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/310?window=all) | 68 | 28.37% ±469.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $520 520 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $160 160 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 26.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.6% | 12 | 10.2 | 1.18× | | [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 84.8% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 56 | 57.7 | 0.97× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=310`, 12 Nov, 01:41 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=310) [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [LuisXvi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/LuisXvi) $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:19 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [beef andcheese](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/beef%20andcheese) $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $0.34 0.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.47x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.34 | 89.85% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.0% mil spec 0.2% blue 15.0% milspec 84.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.85 on average: an expected loss of $10.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt