--- title: "Stormbringer case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Stormbringer ($41.02) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 10 items with odds, observed 17.34% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Stormbringer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Stormbringer A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=all) Price · $41.02 · 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $36.92 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 17.34% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 25.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 150.3% 301.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=7d) | 12 | 17.34% ±283.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317) | 12 | 17.34% ±283.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/317?window=all) | 12 | 17.34% ±283.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,000 7,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $140 140 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $60.00 60 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 15.0% | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/berlin-2019-vertigo-souvenir-package) | 25.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [SG 553 \| Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) | 46.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 7 | 5.5 | 1.27× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=317`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=317) [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 11:09 UTC [Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/berlin-2019-vertigo-souvenir-package) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-10 11:09 UTC [M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-08 23:19 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:19 UTC [M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.61x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-well-worn) [LouisInRussian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/LouisInRussian) $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC [Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/berlin-2019-vertigo-souvenir-package) Hidden $41.02 41.02 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-06 05:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $41.02 | 90.01% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.5% Covert 1.5% covert knife 3.0% extraordinary 7.0% mil spec 15.0% #B0C3D9 25.0% milspec 46.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt