--- title: "Moonshot case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Moonshot ($451.31) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Moonshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Moonshot A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=all) Price · $451.31 · 451 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $406.18 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 17.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/322?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 1,000 | $31K 31,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $24K 24,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 143 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $7,800 7,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 40 | $2,600 2,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 29 | $1,400 1,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-legends-holo-foil) | 10.0% | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Mirage Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-mirage-souvenir-package) | 15.0% | $70.00 70 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| FURIA (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-holo-katowice-2019) | 20.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Katowice 2019 Legends Autograph Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/katowice-2019-legends-autograph-capsule) | 42.0% | $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=322`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=322) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $451 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 10.1% remarkable 21.9% high 7.5% #B0C3D9 18.5% Base Grade 42.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt