--- title: "Volatile case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Volatile ($610.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Volatile](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Volatile A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=all) Price · $610.33 · 610 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $549.30 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 38.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/323?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $71K 71,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $31K 31,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 16.0% | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 33.0% | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 46.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=323`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=323) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $610 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.2% covert 20.8% covert knife 33.0% industrial 46.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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