--- title: "Redemption case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Redemption ($349.33) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Redemption](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Redemption A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=all) Price · $349.33 · 349 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $314.40 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/324?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $10.9K 10,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $6,100 6,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 80 | $4,300 4,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,300 1,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $550 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 25.0% | $35.00 35 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Music Box (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-music-box-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | $14.00 14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=324`, 11 Nov, 19:23 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=324) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $349 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.2% extraordinary 0.5% legendary 1.3% gold 11.0% classified 25.0% Mil Spec Grade 35.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt