--- title: "Hit Or Miss case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hit Or Miss ($1,553.53) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Hit Or Miss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Hit Or Miss A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=all) Price · $1,553.53 · 1,554 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,398.18 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 13.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 42 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/328?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $70K 70,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $65K 65,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $54K 54,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 167 | $28K 28,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 33 | $7,500 7,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 14 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 17.0% | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 26.6% | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 42.0% | $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=328`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=328) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,554 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 2.4% remarkable 0.8% covert 69.3% extraordinary 1.0% sunny 26.6% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt